Missouri’s voters will vote in less than a month to decide if recreational cannabis should be legalized for adults.

It seems that the outcome is still uncertain.

The Missouri Independent this week highlighted a pair of recent polls that “found voters closely divided over the question of whether Missouri should legalize recreational marijuana use.”

A poll from Emerson College showed that a plurality of voters in Missouri—48%—support Amendment 3, which would legalize adult-use cannabis in the Show Me State and establish a regulated recreational weed market there.

A poll revealed that 35% (35%) of the voters were against Amendment 3 and 17% are uncertain.

The survey provided more encouragement to the supporters than another Remington Research Group poll. According to Missouri Independent, this survey showed that “only 43% of respondents [are] in support of Amendment 3, compared to 47% against and 10% unsure.”

A second poll showed a completely different picture. SurveyUSA conducted a poll that found 62% support Amendment 3 in Missouri. This was compared to 22% who stated they were against it and 16% who indicated they weren’t sure.

These polls all took place in September.

Legal Missouri 2022 (the group that drafted the amendment) is confident it will be passed next month, despite the uncertain outlook.

“Support for Amendment 3 continues to grow every day because legalizing marijuana allows law enforcement to focus on fighting violent and serious crime, while bringing tens of millions of revenue to the state annually,” Legal Missouri 2022 campaign manager John Payne told the Missouri Independent.

Legal Missouri was able to achieve victory by ensuring Amendment 3 got on the ballot.

Nearly 400,000 signatures were submitted to Missouri Secretary of State in May. But, by the middle-of-summer there was speculation that organizers might still have fallen behind.

In order for such a measure to qualify for the Missouri ballot, organizers were required to collect signatures from at least 8% of registered voters in six of the state’s eight congressional districts.

Local television reported that signatures in four districts seemed extremely low in July.

“I can’t say without any certainty whether it will make it or not. They will not succeed, but it is possible. This isn’t dead,” Missouri Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft said at the time.

Ashcroft had the right idea to caution. A month later, in August, Ashcroft’s office said that organizers had met the signature requirement and that the amendment qualified for the ballot.

“Our statewide coalition of activists, business owners, medical marijuana patients and criminal justice reform advocates has worked tirelessly to reach this point, and deserves all the credit,” Payne said in a statement at the time. “Our campaign volunteers collected 100,000 signatures, on top of paid signature collection. The outpouring support from Missourians for legalizing, taxing and regulating cannabis was a huge factor in the success of this campaign. In the weeks and months ahead, we look forward to engaging in conversation with the voters throughout the state. Missourians are more than ready to end the senseless and costly prohibition of marijuana.”

If it were to pass, Amendment 3 would allow “Missourians with nonviolent marijuana-related offenses to automatically expunge their criminal records,” while levying a 6% state tax on marijuana retail sales. It would also allow “local governments to assess local sales taxes of up to 3%.”